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- Wall Street's holiday cheer ended abruptly with a broad sell-off, affecting all three main benchmarks.
- The downturn was attributed to widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing ahead of the new year.
- Rising U.S. Treasury yields and the sell-off disrupted the seasonal Santa Claus rally, affecting growth stocks and tech megacaps.
- The market's volatility underscores the need for investors to stay informed and adapt their strategies accordingly.
The holiday cheer on Wall Street came to an abrupt halt on Friday, December 27, 2024. All three main benchmarks closed lower in a broad-based sell-off, affecting even tech and growth stocks that had been driving markets higher throughout the shortened trading week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average's five-session winning streak, which had followed a 10-session decline, came to an end. This marked its worst losing stretch since 1974.
The Dow fell 333.59 points, or 0.77%, to 42,992.21. The S&P 500 lost 66.75 points, or 1.11%, to finish at 5,970.84 points, while the Nasdaq Composite dropped 298.33 points, or 1.49%, to end at 19,722.03. This marked a significant shift in the market, which had been experiencing a strong bull market for over two years.
Michael Reynolds, vice president of investment strategy at Glenmede, suggested that the day's downturn was due to widespread profit-taking. He noted that it was not surprising to see some people taking their profits and rebalancing their portfolios ahead of the new year.
Profit-Taking and the Santa Claus Rally
Highlighting the profit-taking theme, the 45 top performers year-to-date on the S&P 500 all finished lower on Friday. The sell-off also disrupted the seasonal Santa Claus rally, a period during which stocks traditionally rise during the last five sessions of December and the first two of January. Since 1969, the S&P 500 has climbed 1.3% on average during this period, according to the Stock Trader's Almanac.
Rising U.S. Treasury yields had been catching investors' attention, with the benchmark 10-year note hitting a more than seven-month high in the previous session. The yield hovered close to that mark on Friday, at 4.63%. Higher yields are seen as hampering growth stocks, as they raise borrowing costs for business expansion.
These stocks, especially the so-called Magnificent Seven technology megacaps which had been key drivers of the market's 2024 rally, were also caught up in Friday's sell-off. For the second successive day, Tesla led decliners among the group, dropping 5%.
Market Dynamics and Investor Strategies
Among the other members, Nvidia shed 2.1% while Alphabet, Amazon.com, and Microsoft all slipped more than 1.5%. Glenmede's Reynolds noted that the higher cost of capital due to rising rates had led investors to reassess their bets, potentially looking at some of the valuations on the Magnificent Seven and considering whether they could find better value elsewhere.
This market downturn is a stark reminder that despite statistical likelihoods, such as the Santa Claus rally, market performance is never guaranteed. As Steve Sosnick, chief market strategist at Interactive Brokers, noted, If nothing else, today is a reminder that just because a Santa Claus rally is a statistical likelihood, it is far from guaranteed.
The market's performance on Thursday had already hinted at stalling momentum, with both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq posting marginal losses to end multi-session winning runs. This, coupled with the rising U.S. Treasury yields and the broad sell-off on Friday, suggests a shift in market dynamics that could impact investors' strategies moving forward.
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