(Photo : X.com)
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol
- Political unrest in South Korea has led to a significant stumble in Asian equities, with the KOSPI index down nearly 2%.
- The imposition and subsequent lifting of martial law by President Yoon Suk Yeol has created uncertainty in the political landscape and the economy.
- The South Korean finance ministry is ready to inject "unlimited" liquidity into financial markets if necessary.
- This situation, coupled with global uncertainties, has led to a volatile financial market, highlighting the interconnectedness of global economies.
The recent political unrest in South Korea has sent shockwaves through the Asian financial markets, leading to a significant stumble in Asian equities. The imposition and subsequent lifting of martial law in South Korea have resulted in volatile currency movements, leaving traders scrambling to adapt. The South Korean won, despite strengthening in early trading due to suspected intervention, remained close to its two-year low against the dollar.
The KOSPI index, South Korea's benchmark, was down nearly 2%, pushing its year-to-date losses to over 7%. This makes it the worst-performing major stock market in Asia this year. The MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan, which includes Samsung Electronics as one of its top constituents, was down 0.32%.
South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, in a surprising move, imposed martial law, only to lift it hours later. This decision came after a standoff with parliament, which rejected his attempt to ban political activity.
The Impact of Martial Law on South Korea's Economy
According to Min Joo Kang, a senior economist at ING, Martial law itself has been lifted but this incident creates more uncertainty in the political landscape and the economy. The South Korean finance ministry has stated its readiness to inject unlimited liquidity into financial markets if necessary. The Yonhap news agency reported that the financial regulator was prepared to deploy 10 trillion won ($7.07 billion) in a stock market stabilization fund.
The political unrest in South Korea has added to the global uncertainties, with investors already grappling with political turmoil in France that has weighed on the euro. French bond futures fell 0.13%, and European stock futures were 0.14% lower ahead of French lawmakers' vote on no-confidence motions, which are likely to oust the fragile coalition of Prime Minister Michel Barnier.
On the macro side, investors are eagerly awaiting more cues to gauge the policy path the Federal Reserve will likely take next year, with the much-anticipated November employment report due on Friday.
The Global Impact and Historical Precedence
U.S. job openings increased solidly in October, while layoffs dropped by the most in 1-1/2 years, suggesting the labor market continued to slow in an orderly fashion. The spotlight now turns to Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who will give what are expected to be his last public remarks before the meeting. The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency against six rivals, was up 0.12% at 106.45. Gold prices eased 0.17% to $2,639 on a strong dollar.
In a similar historical event, the 1997 Asian financial crisis, which started in Thailand with the financial collapse of the Thai baht, had a domino effect on many Asian economies. The crisis led to a severe devaluation of many Asian currencies and a decline in their stock markets. The crisis also exposed financial sector weaknesses in these economies, leading to economic recessions and political upheaval.